Central Michigan
Men - Women
2013 - 2014 - 2015
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
147  Abbey Kelto SR 20:14
465  Breanne Lesnar JR 20:54
1,515  Melinda Palinkas SR 22:05
1,547  Hannah Davis FR 22:06
1,571  Esther Bell SO 22:07
1,588  Michaela Bundy SO 22:08
1,619  Katie Weiler SO 22:10
2,265  Alyssa Byndas FR 22:51
2,314  Jamie Madrigal SO 22:54
2,958  Brooke Morgan JR 23:50
National Rank #105 of 341
Great Lakes Region Rank #13 of 34
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 14th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 0.1%
Top 20 in Regional 99.6%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Abbey Kelto Breanne Lesnar Melinda Palinkas Hannah Davis Esther Bell Michaela Bundy Katie Weiler Alyssa Byndas Jamie Madrigal Brooke Morgan
Roy Griak Invitational 09/27 1099 20:16 20:58 23:35 22:14 22:43 22:42 23:13
Notre Dame Invitational (Gold) 10/03 1138 20:46 20:54 21:57 21:59 21:56 22:23 22:15 22:40 23:50
ISU Pre-National Invitational (White) 10/18 1013 20:17 20:28 21:37 22:01 22:06 22:05 22:44
MAC Championship 11/01 1090 20:19 21:03 22:37 21:52 22:20 21:52 22:02 22:57 22:54
Great Lakes Region Championships 11/14 1037 20:02 20:59 22:12 22:05 22:01 21:54 21:45
NCAA Championship 11/22 20:01





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 14.5 459 0.1 0.9 4.4 13.9 40.2 21.5 10.0 5.0 2.3 1.0 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Abbey Kelto 35.6% 107.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
Breanne Lesnar 0.0% 141.0


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Abbey Kelto 21.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.9 1.5 1.5 2.3 3.6 3.2 3.8 4.3 4.5 4.9 5.2 5.1 4.7 5.2 4.7 4.6 3.8
Breanne Lesnar 57.7 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Melinda Palinkas 129.4
Hannah Davis 131.5
Esther Bell 131.9
Michaela Bundy 134.1
Katie Weiler 135.9




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 0.1% 0.1 10
11 0.9% 0.9 11
12 4.4% 4.4 12
13 13.9% 13.9 13
14 40.2% 40.2 14
15 21.5% 21.5 15
16 10.0% 10.0 16
17 5.0% 5.0 17
18 2.3% 2.3 18
19 1.0% 1.0 19
20 0.4% 0.4 20
21 0.3% 0.3 21
22 0.0% 0.0 22
23 0.1% 0.1 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0